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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets

Which venue prices "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 71% O/U 7.5 64% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 57% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $921K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.580%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.571%
O/U 7.564%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.557%
O/U 8.556%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets55%
NRFI52%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.546%
O/U 9.546%
Spread -1.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.534%
Spread -2.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.521%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, los angeles dodgers vs. new york mets stands at 80% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets, scheduled for July 24 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angele…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 80% for "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 80% Other 20%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $116K.

Methodology

This page compares Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets on Robinhood Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

Sports