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Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets

Which venue prices "Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets 60% O/U 6.5 60% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 56% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $837K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.571%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets60%
O/U 6.560%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
O/U 7.548%
Spread -1.547%
NRFI44%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.544%
O/U 8.537%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.535%
Spread -2.535%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.531%
Spread -1.525%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.523%
Spread -2.517%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to milwaukee brewers vs. new york mets. In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets, scheduled for August 25 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 71% for "Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 71% Other 29%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $88K.

Methodology

This page compares Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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