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New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 5.5 64% Extra Innings 50% New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox 49% O/U 6.5 39% Volume: $158K Liquidity: $437K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 5.564%
Extra Innings50%
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox49%
O/U 6.539%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.535%
Spread -1.528%
O/U 7.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.526%
Spread -1.525%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.524%
O/U 8.523%
Spread -2.522%
Spread -2.518%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.517%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.516%
O/U 9.516%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.511%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.57%
NRFI0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 64% probability to new york mets vs. chicago white sox. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 23 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This ma…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 5.5 at 64% for "New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox".

O/U 5.5 64% Other 36%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $158K.

Methodology

This page compares New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox on Robinhood Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

Sports