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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 67% O/U 6.5 56% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 51% Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers 46% Volume: $194K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.567%
O/U 6.556%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.551%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers46%
O/U 7.544%
NRFI40%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.538%
O/U 8.537%
Spread -1.536%
Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.527%
Spread -2.526%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.525%
Spread -2.522%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.519%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 67% probability to pittsburgh pirates vs. milwaukee brewers. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 5 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 67% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 67% Other 33%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $194K.

Methodology

We read Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers on Robinhood Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

Sports