Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 195.5 | 95% |
| O/U 197.5 | 93% |
| O/U 199.5 | 92% |
| O/U 201.5 | 90% |
| O/U 203.5 | 87% |
| O/U 205.5 | 84% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 83% |
| O/U 207.5 | 81% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 81% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| O/U 209.5 | 78% |
| Nolan Traoré: Points O/U 4.5 | 78% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 77% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 77% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 75% |
| O/U 211.5 | 74% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 14.5 | 74% |
| O/U 213.5 | 72% |
| Spread -1.5 | 71% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 69% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 69% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 67% |
| Nolan Traoré: Points O/U 9.5 | 67% |
| O/U 215.5 | 66% |
| Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 217.5 | 64% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 64% |
| Nets O/U 96.5 | 64% |
| Nets O/U 94.5 | 64% |
| Nets O/U 102.5 | 63% |
| Nets O/U 100.5 | 63% |
| Nets O/U 98.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 62% |
| O/U 218.5 | 61% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 61% |
| O/U 219.5 | 60% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| Nolan Traoré: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| O/U 220.5 | 56% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Julius Randle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 56% |
| O/U 221.5 | 55% |
| Nets O/U 106.5 | 55% |
| Nets 1H O/U 52.5 | 55% |
| Nets 1H O/U 50.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 56.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 54% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 54% |
| O/U 222.5 | 53% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 53% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| Nets 1H O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| Nets O/U 104.5 | 53% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 52% |
| Nets O/U 107.5 | 52% |
| O/U 223.5 | 51% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 51% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Danny Wolf: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Danny Wolf: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 49% |
| Nolan Traoré: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 48% |
| Nets O/U 108.5 | 48% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Danny Wolf: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 60.5 | 47% |
| Nets 1H O/U 56.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Nets 1H O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| Nolan Traoré: Steals O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| O/U 225.5 | 46% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 46% |
| Mavericks O/U 124.5 | 46% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 45% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 45% |
| Mavericks O/U 122.5 | 45% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 45% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 62.5 | 44% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Daniel Gafford: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 8.5 | 42% |
| Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| Nets 1H O/U 58.5 | 42% |
| Nets O/U 112.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| O/U 227.5 | 41% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Danny Wolf: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 40% |
| Nets O/U 110.5 | 40% |
| Spread -10.5 | 39% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Nets O/U 114.5 | 39% |
| Nets O/U 116.5 | 39% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Nolan Traoré: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 37% |
| O/U 229.5 | 37% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 36% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 8.5 | 36% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| Danny Wolf: Assists O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Nets O/U 118.5 | 36% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 21.5 | 34% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Spread -12.5 | 33% |
| O/U 231.5 | 33% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 33% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| 1H Moneyline | 32% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 31% |
| Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| O/U 233.5 | 28% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Nets vs. Mavericks | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 27% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| Spread -15.5 | 25% |
| O/U 235.5 | 25% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 25% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 23% |
| Spread -17.5 | 22% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 22% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| Nolan Traoré: Steals O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| O/U 237.5 | 21% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 21% |
| Danny Wolf: Assists O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Nolan Traoré: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Danny Wolf: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -19.5 | 18% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| O/U 239.5 | 17% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Nolan Traoré: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 241.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| Spread -37.5 | 14% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Julius Randle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| O/U 243.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Danny Wolf: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Spread -23.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| O/U 245.5 | 10% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Danny Wolf: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -25.5 | 8% |
| O/U 247.5 | 8% |
| Spread -39.5 | 8% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 8% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Julius Randle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Spread -27.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -12.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| O/U 249.5 | 6% |
| O/U 251.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 6% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Daniel Gafford: Assists O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 5% |
| Nolan Traoré: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -29.5 | 4% |
| Spread -35.5 | 4% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 4% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Danny Wolf: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Danny Wolf: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -33.5 | 3% |
| Spread -31.5 | 2% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, nets vs. mavericks stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game between Nets and Mavericks, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If t…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $346K.
Methodology
We read Nets vs. Mavericks from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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