Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
78% | 22% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
78% | 22% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 209.5 | 78% |
| O/U 212.5 | 74% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 71% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5 | 69% |
| O/U 215.5 | 68% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| O/U 218.5 | 60% |
| O/U 220.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 221.5 | 54% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 222.5 | 52% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 223.5 | 49% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 224.5 | 47% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | 45% |
| O/U 225.5 | 45% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| O/U 226.5 | 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 228.5 | 38% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 38% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 35% |
| O/U 231.5 | 34% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5 | 34% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 25.5 | 33% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 31% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| O/U 234.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 25% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.5 | 25% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 25% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| O/U 237.5 | 22% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 15% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 78% YES probability for Knicks vs. Celtics. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postpo…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.
Methodology
This page compares Knicks vs. Celtics specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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