Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 99% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 99% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 97% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 97% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 97% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 95% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 93% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 92% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 119.5 | 92% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 90% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 90% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 90% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 89% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 88% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 88% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 86% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 86% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 80% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 79% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 78% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 77% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 77% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 77% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 77% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 75% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 75% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 74% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 72% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 71% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 69% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 69% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 69% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 68% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 66% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 66% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 66% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 66% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 65% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 65% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 64% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 63% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 62% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 62% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 61% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 61% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 61% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 60% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 60% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 59% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 58% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 57% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 57% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 57% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 57% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 57% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 56% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 56% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 56% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 55% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 55% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 55% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 53% |
| Austin Hooper: Anytime Touchdown | 53% |
| Chris Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 53% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 53% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 53% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 53% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 52% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 52% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 52% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 52% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 52% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Austin Hooper: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Chris Blair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Blair: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Drake London: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mark Redman: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Nick Muse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Muse: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Drake London: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Austin Hooper: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Charlie Woerner: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Chris Blair: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Drake London: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Nick Muse: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Brian Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Drake London: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 23% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 14% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 10% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 8% |
| Skyy Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 5% |
| Charlie Woerner: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 5% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 4% |
| Charlie Woerner: Anytime Touchdown | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Falcons vs. Packers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Falcons and Packers, scheduled for September 24 at 8:15 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Falcons vs. Packers - Player Props specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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