Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 17.5 | 93% |
| O/U 19.5 | 92% |
| O/U 21.5 | 90% |
| O/U 23.5 | 87% |
| O/U 25.5 | 84% |
| O/U 27.5 | 78% |
| O/U 29.5 | 72% |
| O/U 31.5 | 66% |
| O/U 33.5 | 59% |
| Giants vs. Jets | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| O/U 35.5 | 55% |
| 2H Moneyline | 55% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Jets O/U 17.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| O/U 36.5 | 51% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Jets O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Jets O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Giants O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| Jets 1H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Jets 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Jets 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Giants O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 21+ | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Jets Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants vs. Jets: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Giants vs. Jets: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Jets O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Jets O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| O/U 37.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 39.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| O/U 41.5 | 36% |
| O/U 43.5 | 28% |
| O/U 45.5 | 24% |
| O/U 47.5 | 19% |
| O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| O/U 51.5 | 12% |
| O/U 53.5 | 9% |
| O/U 55.5 | 7% |
| O/U 57.5 | 6% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to giants vs. jets. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 7:30PM ET: If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If Jets wins, the market will resolve to "Jets". If the game is postponed, this mar…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $127K.
Methodology
This page compares Giants vs. Jets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade Giants vs. Jets on Robinhood Prediction Markets
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