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Buccaneers vs. Jaguars

Which venue prices "Buccaneers vs. Jaguars" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 17.5 55% Buccaneers O/U 18.5 50% Jaguars O/U 17.5 50% Jaguars O/U 16.5 50% Volume: $170K Liquidity: $941K Closes: 28 Aug 2026
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Buccaneers vs. Jaguars

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 17.555%
Buccaneers O/U 18.550%
Jaguars O/U 17.550%
Jaguars O/U 16.550%
O/U 15.550%
O/U 19.550%
O/U 21.550%
O/U 25.550%
O/U 27.550%
O/U 31.550%
O/U 39.550%
O/U 43.550%
O/U 45.550%
O/U 49.550%
O/U 51.550%
O/U 55.550%
Buccaneers O/U 12.550%
Buccaneers O/U 15.550%
Buccaneers O/U 21.550%
Buccaneers O/U 24.550%
Jaguars O/U 11.550%
Jaguars O/U 14.550%
Jaguars O/U 20.550%
Jaguars O/U 23.550%
Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Tie50%
Exact Margin: Jaguars by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Jaguars by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Jaguars by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Jaguars by 21+50%
Buccaneers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Jaguars Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Buccaneers vs. Jaguars: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.550%
Buccaneers vs. Jaguars: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Moneyline50%
1Q Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H O/U 11.550%
2H O/U 14.550%
2H O/U 17.550%
2H O/U 20.550%
2H O/U 23.550%
Spread -0.549%
O/U 23.522%
1H Spread -1.510%
1H Moneyline10%
Jaguars 1H O/U 6.510%
Jaguars 1H O/U 8.510%
Jaguars 1H O/U 10.510%
Buccaneers 1H O/U 7.510%
Buccaneers 1H O/U 9.510%
Buccaneers 1H O/U 11.510%
1Q Spread -0.510%
1Q Spread -1.510%
1Q Spread -2.510%
1Q O/U 7.510%
1Q O/U 10.510%
1Q O/U 13.510%
1Q Spread -3.510%
1Q Spread -4.510%
1H O/U 19.510%
1H Spread -2.510%
Buccaneers vs. Jaguars7%
Spread -4.57%
O/U 29.56%
O/U 33.56%
O/U 53.56%
Spread -1.55%
O/U 35.54%
Spread -2.54%
Spread -3.54%
O/U 37.53%
O/U 41.53%
O/U 34.52%
O/U 47.51%
1H O/U 18.51%
1H O/U 17.50%
1Q O/U 1.50%
1Q O/U 4.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, buccaneers vs. jaguars stands at 55% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 7:30PM ET: If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers". If Jaguars wins, the market will resolve to "Jaguars". …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 17.5 at 55% for "Buccaneers vs. Jaguars".

O/U 17.5 55% Other 45%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $170K.

Methodology

This page compares Buccaneers vs. Jaguars specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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