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World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

Cross-platform snapshot for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

5% YES 95% NO Volume: $1.6M Liquidity: $1.8M
Trade on PolyGram →
World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
 5% 95% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 5% 95% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Cape Verde5% YES95% NO
Croatia14% YES87% NO
Norway35% YES66% NO
Iraq1% YES99% NO
Algeria6% YES95% NO
Uzbekistan0% YES100% NO

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, world cup: nation to reach quarterfinals stands at 5% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 …

Methodology

This page compares World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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