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Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK - More Markets

Which venue prices "Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK - More Markets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 0.5 98% Aston Villa FC O/U 0.5 95% O/U 1.5 92% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 89% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $3.2M Closes: 21 Oct 2026
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Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.598%
Aston Villa FC O/U 0.595%
O/U 1.592%
2nd Half O/U 0.589%
1st Half O/U 0.585%
Aston Villa FC O/U 1.581%
Aston Villa FC 2nd Half O/U 0.581%
O/U 2.577%
Aston Villa FC 1st Half O/U 0.575%
2nd Half O/U 1.567%
Viking FK O/U 0.564%
Both Teams to Score61%
Aston Villa FC (-1.5)59%
Aston Villa FC O/U 2.558%
O/U 3.556%
1st Half O/U 1.555%
Aston Villa FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Viking FK 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Viking FK 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Viking FK O/U 5.549%
Viking FK 1st Half O/U 2.549%
Viking FK 1st Half O/U 3.549%
Viking FK O/U 4.546%
Viking FK 2nd Half O/U 0.543%
Aston Villa FC 1st Half O/U 1.541%
Aston Villa FC (-2.5)38%
O/U 4.537%
2nd Half O/U 2.537%
Viking FK (-4.5)36%
Viking FK (-5.5)36%
Viking FK 1st Half O/U 0.536%
Aston Villa FC O/U 3.535%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half35%
Aston Villa FC 1st Half O/U 3.528%
Both Teams to Score in First Half27%
1st Half O/U 2.527%
Viking FK O/U 1.527%
Aston Villa FC 2nd Half O/U 2.522%
Aston Villa FC (-3.5)21%
O/U 5.521%
Aston Villa FC O/U 4.518%
2nd Half O/U 3.517%
Aston Villa FC 1st Half O/U 2.516%
Aston Villa FC (-4.5)11%
Viking FK 1st Half O/U 1.511%
Viking FK 2nd Half O/U 1.511%
O/U 6.510%
1st Half O/U 3.510%
Aston Villa FC O/U 5.58%
Viking FK O/U 2.58%
Aston Villa FC 2nd Half O/U 3.58%
2nd Half O/U 4.56%
O/U 7.55%
Aston Villa FC (-5.5)4%
Viking FK (-1.5)3%
1st Half O/U 4.53%
O/U 8.52%
Viking FK O/U 3.52%
Viking FK (-2.5)1%
Viking FK (-3.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 98% probability to aston villa fc vs. viking fk - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 21 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We read Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports