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UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Which venue prices "UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Dyer to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $105K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Dyer to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Reed to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Elise Reed" if Elise Reed is officially declared the winner of the fight against Shanelle Dyer at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $105K.

Methodology

This page compares UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

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