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UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)

Cross-platform snapshot for "UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 70% O/U 2.5 Rounds 66% O/U 1.5 Rounds 64% O/U 3.5 Rounds 56% Volume: $55K Liquidity: $32K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds70%
O/U 2.5 Rounds66%
O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
O/U 3.5 Rounds56%
Salkilld to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight to Go the Distance?46%
Fight won by submission?44%
O/U 4.5 Rounds43%
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld42%
Gamrot to win by KO/TKO?42%
Fight won by KO/TKO?28%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 70% probability to ufc fight night: mateusz gamrot vs. quillan salkilld (lightweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Mateusz Gamrot" if Mateusz Gamrot is officially declared the winner of the fight against Quillan Salkilld at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 70% for "UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $55K.

Methodology

This page compares UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Related Topics

Sports UFC Prediction Markets