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UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

16% YES 84% NO Volume: $116K Liquidity: $225K Closes: 28 Jun 2026
Trade on PolyGram →
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
 16% 84% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 16% 84% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Fight won by submission?16% YES85% NO
O/U 0.5 Rounds85% Over16% Under
O/U 1.5 Rounds73% Over28% Under
Fight won by KO/TKO?45% YES55% NO
Pereira to win by KO/TKO?10% YES91% NO
Magomedov to win by KO/TKO?42% YES58% NO

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: michel pereira vs. shara magomedov (middleweight, main card) stands at 16% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Michel Pereira" if Michel Pereira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Shara Magomedov at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, schedul…

Methodology

This page compares UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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