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Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets

Cross-platform snapshot for "Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 0.5 91% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 75% Georgia O/U 0.5 72% Ukraine O/U 0.5 72% Volume: $70K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.591%
2nd Half O/U 0.575%
Georgia O/U 0.572%
Ukraine O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.571%
1st Half O/U 0.566%
Both Teams to Score53%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Ukraine (-4.5)50%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 2.550%
1st Half O/U 4.549%
Ukraine O/U 4.549%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 3.549%
2nd Half O/U 4.549%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 2.549%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 2.548%
2nd Half O/U 3.548%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 3.548%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 2.547%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 3.546%
O/U 2.545%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 0.542%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 0.542%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 1.541%
2nd Half O/U 1.538%
Ukraine O/U 1.535%
Georgia O/U 1.534%
1st Half O/U 1.528%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 3.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
O/U 3.523%
Ukraine O/U 5.522%
Both Teams to Score in First Half18%
Georgia (-1.5)14%
Ukraine (-1.5)14%
2nd Half O/U 2.514%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 1.514%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 1.513%
Georgia O/U 2.512%
Ukraine O/U 2.512%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 1.511%
O/U 4.510%
Georgia O/U 5.510%
1st Half O/U 2.59%
Georgia O/U 4.57%
Georgia (-2.5)5%
Ukraine (-2.5)5%
O/U 5.54%
Ukraine O/U 3.54%
1st Half O/U 3.53%
Georgia O/U 3.53%
Georgia (-3.5)1%
Ukraine (-3.5)1%
Georgia (-4.5)1%
Georgia (-5.5)1%
Ukraine (-5.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, georgia vs. ukraine - more markets stands at 91% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We read Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports