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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $336K Liquidity: $469K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.575%
Match Winner61%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)49%
Map 2 Winner36%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)1%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 2 match between Gentle Mates and NRG in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentl…

Methodology

We read Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World … on Robinhood Prediction Markets

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