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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Which venue prices "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) 100% Volume: $349K Liquidity: $4.4M Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)72%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs Eternal Fire (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-8.5) vs Eternal Fire (+8.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-9.5) vs Eternal Fire (+9.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-11.5) vs Eternal Fire (+11.5)1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%

Market context

Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" i…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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