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Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 50% Volume: $173K Liquidity: $159K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs LOUD (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs LOUD (+7.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs LOUD (+8.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)42%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 2 Winner30%
Match Winner18%
Map 1 Winner14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to valorant: loud vs 100 thieves (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between LOUD and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 9 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOU…

Methodology

We read Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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