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Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

Which venue prices "Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Winner 89% Match Winner 84% Map 2 Winner 71% Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) 67% Volume: $909K Liquidity: $124K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner89%
Match Winner84%
Map 2 Winner71%
Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)67%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-4.5) vs EDward Gaming (+4.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-5.5) vs EDward Gaming (+5.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games35%

Market context

Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B — current market-implied probability: 89%. This market refers to the Valorant match between LOUD and EDward Gaming in the VCT Champions Group B, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if L…

Methodology

We read Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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