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Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Which venue prices "Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 3.5 Games 76% Map 4 Winner 66% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 61% Volume: $183K Liquidity: $606K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games76%
Map 4 Winner66%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Match Winner59%
Map 1 Winner56%
Map 3 Winner56%
Map 2 Winner53%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.552%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)44%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)44%
Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)41%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)40%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%
O/U 4.5 Games36%
Map Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)15%

Market context

Market consensus: 76% chance of valorant: loud vs team vitality (bo5) - vct champions playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Grand Final match between LOUD and Team Vitality in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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