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Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) 100% Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) 100% Volume: $360K Liquidity: $3.2M Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)100%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.535%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.535%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: team envy vs evil geniuses (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team E…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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