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Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Which venue prices "Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $225K Liquidity: $610K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 6 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Envy" if T…

Methodology

We read Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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