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Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $244K Liquidity: $473K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs All Gamers (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-4.5) vs Team Heretics (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs AG.AL International (+5.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-7.5) vs Team Heretics (+7.5)48%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-6.5) vs Team Heretics (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-5.5) vs Team Heretics (+5.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs AG.AL International (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs All Gamers (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs All Gamers (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs AG.AL International (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs AG.AL International (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs AG.AL International (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: team heretics vs all gamers (bo3) - esports world cup group d stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Heretics and All Gamers in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 3 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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