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New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream

Which venue prices "New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

3Q Moneyline 100% 4Q Moneyline 100% O/U 172.5 100% Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.5 100% Volume: $566K Closes: 7 Oct 2026
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New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
3Q Moneyline100%
4Q Moneyline100%
O/U 172.5100%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.5100%
Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5100%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5100%
Leonie Fiebich: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5100%
Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H O/U 86.5100%
2H O/U 86.5100%
1Q O/U 43.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q O/U 43.5100%
O/U 171.5100%
O/U 170.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
1Q Moneyline50%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream0%
1H Moneyline0%
2H Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
Spread -3.50%
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 15.50%
Leonie Fiebich: Points O/U 8.50%
Pauline Astier: Points O/U 8.50%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Pauline Astier: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 3.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q O/U 43.50%
4Q Spread -0.50%
4Q O/U 43.50%
Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.50%
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.50%
Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.50%
Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.50%
Allisha Gray: Points O/U 17.50%
Allisha Gray: Points O/U 16.50%
Pauline Astier: Points O/U 7.50%

Market context

The New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 7 at 12:00AM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atla…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 3Q Moneyline at 100% for "New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream".

3Q Moneyline 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $566K.

Methodology

This page compares New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

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Related Topics

Sports