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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng

Cross-platform snapshot for "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 71% Completed Match 50% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.5 49% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.5 49% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $97K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.571%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.549%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.549%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.549%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 21.548%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 Winner47%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner47%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.546%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 22.543%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng41%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.538%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.538%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.528%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.526%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.525%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to mubadala citi dc open: alexandra eala vs qinwen zheng. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Eala and Qinwen Zheng in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexand…

Methodology

This page compares Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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