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National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace

Cross-platform snapshot for "National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace 100% Completed Match 100% National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set 1 Winner 100% National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $90K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace100%
Completed Match100%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set 1 Winner100%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set 2 Winner100%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Match O/U 21.50%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set 1 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Match O/U 22.50%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set Handicap +/-1.50%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set 2 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set 1 O/U 10.50%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Match O/U 23.50%
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to national bank open: mccartney kessler vs cadence brace. This market refers to the tennis match between McCartney Kessler and Cadence Brace in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'McCar…

Methodology

This page compares National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Related Topics

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