Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson Set 1 Winner | 0% Muchova | 100% Tauson |
| Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 22.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 23.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% Over 2.5 | 0% Under 2.5 |
| Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson | 100% Karolina Muchova | 0% Clara Tauson |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 0% probability to bad homburg open: karolina muchova vs clara tauson. This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Clara Tauson in the Bad Homburg Open, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina M…
Methodology
This page compares Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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