🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Cross-platform snapshot for "Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Completed Match 100% Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner 100% Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $441K Liquidity: $160K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.5100%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner0%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to chengdu open: nikoloz basilashvili vs alejandro davidovich fokina. This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

We read Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

Trade Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davi… on Robinhood Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets