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US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Match O/U 21.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 2 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Match O/U 22.5 100% Volume: $158K Liquidity: $504K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Match O/U 21.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 2 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Match O/U 22.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.590%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith63%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Match O/U 23.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open, qualification atp: jerome kym vs colton smith. This market refers to the tennis match between Jerome Kym and Colton Smith in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jerom…

Methodology

This page compares US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets