🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Total Sets: O/U 2.5 90% Completed Match 50% US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.5 50% Volume: $180K Liquidity: $524K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
Open live market →
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Total Sets: O/U 2.590%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 22.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 23.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris20%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Game Spread +/-1.515%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set Handicap +/-1.53%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open, qualification atp: henrique rocha vs lloyd harris stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Lloyd Harris in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This marke…

Methodology

We read US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd … on Robinhood Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets