Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of barranquilla: kaitlin quevedo vs claire liu. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Claire Liu in the Barranquilla, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resol…
Methodology
This page compares Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Claire Liu on Robinhood Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →