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Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

Which venue prices "Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

No meeting by December 31, 2027 69% Switzerland 9% Saudi Arabia 9% Slovakia 9% Volume: $67K Liquidity: $157K Closes: 1 Jan 2028
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Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
No meeting by December 31, 202769%
Switzerland9%
Saudi Arabia9%
Slovakia9%
Finland9%
Azerbaijan9%
Russia8%
Vatican City8%
Brazil8%
Serbia7%
Turkey5%
Other - Europe5%
Hungary4%
China4%
Germany4%
UAE4%
Qatar4%
Italy4%
Austria4%
Belarus4%
Kazakhstan4%
India4%
Poland4%
Egypt4%
South Africa4%
Other - Middle East/North Africa4%
Other4%
United States3%
Ukraine1%

Market context

Market consensus: 69% chance of where will putin and zelenskyy meet next?. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. T…

Methodology

This page compares Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next? specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

World Putin Prediction Markets Russia Prediction Markets Ukraine War Prediction Markets