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Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 49% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 48% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) 47% Volume: $61K Liquidity: $276K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)47%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)43%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)41%
Map 2 Winner38%
Map 1 Winner36%
Match Winner28%

Market context

Market consensus: 50% chance of counter-strike: inner circle esports vs fut esports (bo3) - blast open porto group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between Inner Circle Esports and FUT Esports in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for Augus…

Methodology

We read Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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