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LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 100% Game 3 Winner 99% O/U 3.5 Games 99% First Blood in Game 3? 76% Volume: $3.6M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 12 Oct 2026
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LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
Game 3 Winner99%
O/U 3.5 Games99%
First Blood in Game 3?76%
Game 4 Winner73%
O/U 4.5 Games72%
Match Winner55%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?49%
Odd/Even Total Kills47%
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)29%
Game Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)2%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
First Blood in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)0%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between KT Rolster and Team Vitality in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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