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Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Cross-platform snapshot for "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Victor Marx 77% Barbara Kirkmeyer 24% Scott Bottoms 0% Joshua Griffin 0% Volume: $476K Liquidity: $342K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Victor Marx77%
Barbara Kirkmeyer24%
Scott Bottoms0%
Joshua Griffin0%
Greg Lopez0%
Will McBride0%
Stevan Gess0%
Brycen Garrison0%
Daniel Thomas0%
Other0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate J0%
Candidate L0%
Candidate N0%
Candidate P0%
Candidate R0%
Candidate T0%
Candidate V0%
Candidate X0%
Candidate Z0%
Mark Baisley0%
Jason Clark0%
Jason Mikesell0%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg0%
Bob Brinkerhoff0%
Robert Moore0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate E0%
Candidate G0%
Candidate I0%
Candidate K0%
Candidate M0%
Candidate O0%
Candidate Q0%
Candidate S0%
Candidate U0%
Candidate W0%
Candidate Y0%

Market context

Market consensus: 77% chance of colorado governor republican primary winner. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overa…

Methodology

This page compares Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Politics