Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 37.5 | 87% |
| O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| NC State O/U 20.5 | 85% |
| O/U 41.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 81% |
| NC State O/U 23.5 | 78% |
| O/U 43.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| NC State vs. Stanford | 73% |
| O/U 45.5 | 73% |
| Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| Spread -0.5 | 72% |
| Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 69% |
| O/U 47.5 | 68% |
| 1H Moneyline | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 65% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| O/U 49.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| Spread -5.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 60% |
| O/U 51.5 | 57% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Stanford O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State vs. Stanford: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Stanford O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 49% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| NC State O/U 32.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Spread -10.5 | 42% |
| NC State O/U 26.5 | 42% |
| NC State O/U 29.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -13.5 | 38% |
| O/U 59.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| Stanford O/U 26.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Spread -14.5 | 33% |
| Spread -16.5 | 31% |
| Spread -17.5 | 28% |
| Spread -0.5 | 28% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Stanford O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| O/U 65.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| Stanford O/U 32.5 | 24% |
| Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| O/U 67.5 | 22% |
| O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Stanford O/U 35.5 | 18% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| O/U 71.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 73.5 | 10% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 91% chance of nc state vs. stanford. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between NC State and Stanford, scheduled for October 23 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "NC State" if NC State win the game. This m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $121K.
Methodology
We read NC State vs. Stanford from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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