Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 96% |
| O/U 37.5 | 95% |
| O/U 39.5 | 92% |
| O/U 41.5 | 90% |
| O/U 43.5 | 86% |
| San Diego State O/U 20.5 | 83% |
| O/U 45.5 | 82% |
| O/U 47.5 | 81% |
| O/U 49.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 77% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Colorado State O/U 23.5 | 74% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| O/U 51.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 69% |
| O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 64% |
| O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| O/U 57.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Colorado State O/U 26.5 | 56% |
| San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Colorado State O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Colorado State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| San Diego State O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Colorado State O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 48% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| San Diego State O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Colorado State O/U 32.5 | 47% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 61.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| San Diego State O/U 32.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 41% |
| O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| Colorado State O/U 35.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 65.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| O/U 67.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| O/U 69.5 | 29% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| O/U 71.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| O/U 73.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| O/U 75.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
Market context
Market consensus: 96% chance of san diego state vs. colorado state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Colorado State, scheduled for October 24 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
We read San Diego State vs. Colorado State from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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