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Mexico vs. Peru - More Markets

Cross-platform snapshot for "Mexico vs. Peru - More Markets": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 0.5 93% Mexico O/U 0.5 91% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 75% O/U 1.5 73% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $961K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Mexico vs. Peru - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.593%
Mexico O/U 0.591%
2nd Half O/U 0.575%
O/U 1.573%
1st Half O/U 0.569%
Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.567%
Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.561%
Mexico O/U 1.560%
Mexico (-4.5)50%
2nd Half O/U 3.550%
1st Half O/U 4.549%
Peru O/U 4.549%
Peru O/U 5.549%
Mexico O/U 3.548%
Peru 2nd Half O/U 2.548%
Peru 2nd Half O/U 3.548%
Mexico (-1.5)47%
O/U 2.547%
2nd Half O/U 4.547%
Mexico 2nd Half O/U 3.547%
Peru 2nd Half O/U 1.547%
Mexico O/U 2.546%
Peru 1st Half O/U 1.546%
Peru 1st Half O/U 2.546%
Peru O/U 3.544%
Peru O/U 0.542%
2nd Half O/U 1.539%
Both Teams to Score37%
1st Half O/U 3.536%
Mexico O/U 4.536%
Peru O/U 2.536%
Mexico O/U 5.535%
1st Half O/U 1.532%
Mexico 1st Half O/U 3.532%
Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.528%
O/U 3.526%
Peru 2nd Half O/U 0.526%
Mexico (-2.5)24%
Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.522%
Mexico 1st Half O/U 2.522%
Peru 1st Half O/U 0.520%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half20%
2nd Half O/U 2.515%
Both Teams to Score in First Half14%
Peru 1st Half O/U 3.514%
O/U 4.512%
1st Half O/U 2.511%
Mexico (-3.5)10%
Mexico 2nd Half O/U 2.59%
Peru O/U 1.57%
O/U 5.54%
Peru (-1.5)2%
O/U 6.52%
Peru (-4.5)1%
Mexico (-5.5)1%
Peru (-5.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
Peru (-2.5)0%
Peru (-3.5)0%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

The Mexico vs. Peru - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 93% YES. More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 29 at 9:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Mexico vs. Peru - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports