Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 42.5 | 96% |
| 1H O/U 91.5 | 94% |
| O/U 201.5 | 93% |
| O/U 203.5 | 92% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 92% |
| Mavericks O/U 100.5 | 92% |
| 1H O/U 93.5 | 92% |
| 1H O/U 95.5 | 90% |
| O/U 205.5 | 89% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 9.5 | 89% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 89% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 88% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 88% |
| O/U 207.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 87% |
| Pacers O/U 98.5 | 87% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 86% |
| O/U 209.5 | 85% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 84% |
| Pacers O/U 100.5 | 83% |
| O/U 211.5 | 82% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 82% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 82% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 82% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 80% |
| O/U 213.5 | 79% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 79% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 79% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 78% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 48.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 77% |
| Pacers O/U 102.5 | 77% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 50.5 | 76% |
| O/U 215.5 | 75% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 74% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 74% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| Pacers O/U 104.5 | 73% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| O/U 217.5 | 72% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 72% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 51.5 | 71% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 49.5 | 71% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| O/U 219.5 | 68% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 68% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 67% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 52.5 | 67% |
| Pacers O/U 106.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 66% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 66% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 65% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 65% |
| O/U 221.5 | 64% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 64% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 64% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| O/U 222.5 | 63% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 2.5 | 63% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 63% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 63% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| O/U 223.5 | 60% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 60% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 59% |
| Pacers O/U 108.5 | 59% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 58% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 54.5 | 58% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 57% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| O/U 224.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 56% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 55% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 55% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 55% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| O/U 225.5 | 54% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 54% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 54% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 110.5 | 53% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| O/U 226.5 | 53% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 6.5 | 52% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| O/U 227.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 54.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 48% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 21.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 47% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 25.5 | 46% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Santi Aldama: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Santi Aldama: Points O/U 29.5 | 46% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| O/U 229.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 45% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| O/U 231.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 42% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| 1H Moneyline | 41% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 40% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Pacers O/U 114.5 | 39% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 58.5 | 39% |
| Pacers vs. Mavericks | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 38% |
| O/U 233.5 | 37% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 35% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 34% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Santi Aldama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| O/U 235.5 | 33% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 33% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 33% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| O/U 237.5 | 29% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 29% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 29% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 29% |
| Mavericks O/U 122.5 | 29% |
| Spread -11.5 | 28% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 57.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 28% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 28% |
| Santi Aldama: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Santi Aldama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| O/U 239.5 | 25% |
| Spread -13.5 | 25% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 23% |
| Mavericks O/U 124.5 | 23% |
| O/U 241.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Pacers O/U 120.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Spread -15.5 | 20% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 20% |
| O/U 243.5 | 18% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 16% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| O/U 245.5 | 15% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 247.5 | 13% |
| Spread -19.5 | 13% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 13% |
| Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Spread -12.5 | 11% |
| O/U 249.5 | 11% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 10% |
| O/U 251.5 | 9% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 9% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -23.5 | 8% |
| O/U 253.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Santi Aldama: Points O/U 14.5 | 8% |
| Santi Aldama: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| O/U 255.5 | 7% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 7% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -25.5 | 6% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 6% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 6% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Spread -18.5 | 5% |
| Spread -27.5 | 5% |
| O/U 257.5 | 5% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -22.5 | 4% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 4% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -31.5 | 3% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Spread -24.5 | 1% |
Market context
Pacers vs. Mavericks. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 40% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-11-10T01:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $904K.
Methodology
This page compares Pacers vs. Mavericks specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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