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New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

Which venue prices "New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

NRFI 100% O/U 7.5 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $880K Liquidity: $361K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
O/U 7.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
O/U 8.5100%
O/U 9.5100%
O/U 10.5100%
O/U 6.5100%
O/U 5.5100%
O/U 11.575%
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox54%
Extra Innings50%
Spread -5.550%
O/U 12.549%
Spread -3.532%
Spread -1.526%
Spread -4.517%
Spread -2.513%
Spread -1.56%
Spread -2.53%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to new york yankees vs. chicago white sox. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 29 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $880K.

Methodology

This page compares New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox on Robinhood Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

Sports