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Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva

Cross-platform snapshot for "Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Completed Match 100% Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $223K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Match O/U 21.5100%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva0%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set 1 Winner0%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set 2 Winner0%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Match O/U 22.50%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of bastad: lola radivojevic vs yulia putintseva. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Lola Radivojevic and Yulia Putintseva in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page compares Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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