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Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic

Which venue prices "Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Match O/U 23.5 100% Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $202K Liquidity: $419K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Match O/U 23.5100%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Match O/U 21.5100%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set 2 Winner100%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Match O/U 22.5100%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Completed Match100%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set 1 Winner0%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic. This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Ognjen Milic in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestre…

Methodology

This page compares Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

Trade Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic on Robinhood Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets